Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.402502 0.474437 0.553691 0.647234 0.754363 0.872944 1.013859
2024-10-20 0.284659 0.377299 0.489858 0.635586 0.818034 1.037582 1.320295
2024-10-27 0.212488 0.312143 0.443906 0.628331 0.876816 1.196644 1.635454
2024-11-03 0.170266 0.273704 0.420835 0.640841 0.955904 1.384312 2.002805
2024-11-10 0.138582 0.241874 0.398811 0.647632 1.023411 1.559034 2.366403
2024-11-17 0.114029 0.214901 0.377768 0.650094 1.081394 1.722259 2.725325
2024-11-24 0.096604 0.195472 0.364249 0.660333 1.149543 1.903566 3.123112
2024-12-01 0.081488 0.176637 0.347974 0.662516 1.203196 2.065241 3.502060
2024-12-08 0.065801 0.153186 0.319400 0.638895 1.210264 2.152291 3.769468
2024-12-15 0.058786 0.145336 0.317658 0.661681 1.297088 2.373443 4.265467
2024-12-22 0.052119 0.136740 0.312922 0.677797 1.372897 2.581089 4.752894
2024-12-29 0.048818 0.134883 0.321135 0.719167 1.497601 2.880312 5.412819
2025-01-05 0.041415 0.122070 0.305162 0.711777 1.532747 3.029634 5.833467
2025-01-12 0.035018 0.110202 0.289255 0.702357 1.562943 3.172543 6.253717
2025-01-19 0.029838 0.100157 0.275640 0.695672 1.597252 3.324746 6.699997
2025-01-26 0.026636 0.094736 0.271882 0.709830 1.674693 3.562498 7.316565
2025-02-02 0.023518 0.088733 0.265654 0.717445 1.738929 3.779208 7.907370
2025-02-09 0.020601 0.082544 0.257846 0.720210 1.792760 3.978994 8.478111
2025-02-16 0.018418 0.078105 0.253838 0.731439 1.865777 4.221295 9.144160
2025-02-23 0.016189 0.072851 0.246669 0.733837 1.919089 4.427135 9.751094
2025-03-02 0.013374 0.064571 0.229354 0.707999 1.905223 4.493773 10.086945
2025-03-09 0.012405 0.062979 0.231380 0.732929 2.011841 4.818511 10.957480
2025-03-16 0.011332 0.060641 0.230729 0.750557 2.102524 5.114981 11.786412